Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 4.283 to 4.268, down 0.35%
Market Energy Bear Bias -58.8% to Bear Critical -62.3%, down 3.5 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.14%0.55%0.42%0.35%
Energy8.19.813.03.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.14% 0.55% 0.42% 0.35% 8.1 9.8 13.0 3.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.35% — higher than 38% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.5 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DOTUSD 1H

Sample: 53,152 1H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,834 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,435 times78.2%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 399 times21.8%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -62.33%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.17%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H1 · 2025-09-21 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-58.8%
Bear Bias
-62.3%
Bear Critical
-37.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded DOTUSD in Bear in Critical state after the 1H candle closed.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy reading dropped -3.5%, moving from -58.8% to -62.3% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -62.3 to +98.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 21-09-2025 closed, DOTUSD was at 4.268, down 0.35% from the previous candle (4.283). Market Energy was -62.3%, down 3.5 points from -58.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 4.268, down 0.35% from the previous 1H candle (4.283). This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 44,612 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -58.8% to -62.3%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had DOTUSD at -58.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -62.3%, DOTUSD is 2.33 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.17 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -27.7%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Critical, -62.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.4%. DOTUSD energy is currently below DXY by 60 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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