Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.952 to 1.902, down 2.56%
Market Energy Bear Bias -59.6% to Bear Critical -63.7%, down 4.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.61%1.29%4.22%2.56%
Energy15.22.44.44.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.61% 1.29% 4.22% 2.56% 15.2 2.4 4.4 4.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.56% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.1 pts — higher than 22% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DOTUSD Daily

Sample: 2,219 Daily candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 118 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 85 times72%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 33 times28%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -63.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.82%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · D1 · 2025-12-15 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-59.6%
Bear Bias
-63.7%
Bear Critical
-62.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, DOTUSD currently in Bear Critical.

On trend energy, Compared to the previous candle (-59.6%), Market Energy dropped -4.1% to -63.7%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.7 to +19.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 15-12-2025 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.902, down 2.56% from the previous candle (1.952). Market Energy was -63.7%, down 4.1 points from -59.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.902, down 2.56% from the previous Daily candle (1.952). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for DOTUSD, across 1,944 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -59.6% to -63.7%. This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had DOTUSD at -59.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.7%, DOTUSD is 3.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.82 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -30.5%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Critical, -63.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -17.3%. DOTUSD energy is currently below DXY by 46.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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