Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 4.767 to 4.432, down 7.03%
Market Energy Bull Critical 62.6% to Bear Bias -49.7%, down 112.4 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.41%1.80%0.56%7.03%
Energy7.112.110.7112.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.41% 1.80% 0.56% 7.03% 7.1 12.1 10.7 112.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 7.03% — higher than 87% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 112.4 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias DOTUSD Daily

Sample: 2,219 Daily candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 204 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 127 times62.3%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 77 times37.7%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -49.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 28.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 10.28%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · D1 · 2024-09-30 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
62.6%
Bull Critical
-49.7%
Bear Bias
-89.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Daily candle data, DOTUSD noted at the Bear Bias energy state.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -112.4% this candle, currently -49.7% (previous candle 62.6%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -49.7 to +85.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 30-09-2024 closed, DOTUSD was at 4.432, down 7.03% from the previous candle (4.767). Market Energy was -49.7%, down 112.4 points from 62.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 4.432, down 7.03% from the previous Daily candle (4.767). This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for DOTUSD, across 1,503 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 112.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 62.6% to -49.7%. This is the largest of all drops on the Daily timeframe for DOTUSD on record since 2019.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had DOTUSD at 62.6%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -49.7%, DOTUSD is 28.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 10.28 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 25.8%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Bias, -49.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -16.6%. DOTUSD energy is currently below DXY by 33.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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