Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 6.255 to 6.093, down 2.59%
Market Energy Bull Bias 24.4% to Bear Bias -24.5%, down 49.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.59%2.27%1.29%2.59%
Energy29.514.822.849.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.59% 2.27% 1.29% 2.59% 29.5 14.8 22.8 49.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.59% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 49.0 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias DOTUSD Daily

Sample: 2,219 Daily candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 204 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 127 times62.3%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 77 times37.7%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -24.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 3.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.46%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · D1 · 2024-07-18 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
24.4%
Bull Bias
-24.5%
Bear Bias
-9.0%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded DOTUSD in the Bear Bias state after the Daily candle closed.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from 24.4% to -24.5%, down -49% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -24.5 to +62.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 18-07-2024 closed, DOTUSD was at 6.093, down 2.59% from the previous candle (6.255). Market Energy was -24.5%, down 49.0 points from 24.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 6.093, down 2.59% from the previous Daily candle (6.255). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for DOTUSD, across 1,429 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 49 percentage points from the previous candle — from 24.4% to -24.5%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had DOTUSD at 24.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -24.5%, DOTUSD is 3.66 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 35.46 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -32.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 13.8%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Bias, -24.5%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -35.2%. DOTUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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