Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 78,275.5 to 78,358.5, up 0.11%
Market Energy Neutral -19.1% to Neutral 15.2%, up 34.3 pts
Up candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.05%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.11%
Energy▲ 5.1▲ 11.4▲ 30.5▲ 34.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.05%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.11%▲ 5.1▲ 11.4▲ 30.5▲ 34.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 24% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 34.3 pts — higher than 85% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 95,084 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-10-05
Number of Neutral occurrences: 9,385 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 5,012 times — 53.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 4,373 times — 46.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 15.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 5.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 36.06%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-05-03 07:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-19.1%
Neutral
15.2%
Neutral
15.9%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, BTCUSD shows the Neutral level.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy rose +34.3% from the previous candle, from -19.1% to 15.2%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.3 to +94.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 14:00 on 03-05-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 78,358.5, up 0.11% from the previous candle (78,275.5). Market Energy was 15.2%, up 34.3 points from -19.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 78,358.5, up 0.11% from the previous 1H candle (78,275.5). This rise is larger than 24% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 64,293 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 34.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.1% to 15.2%. This rise is larger than 85% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at -19.1%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 15.2%, BTCUSD is 5.7 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 36.06 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, 15.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 83.9%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 68.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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