Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 102,766.31 to 100,863.11, down 1.85%
Market Energy Bull Bias 44.1% to Bear Critical -72.7%, down 116.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.29%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.02%▼ 1.85%
Energy▲ 5.6▲ 41.5▲ 12.6▼ 116.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.29%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.02%▼ 1.85%▲ 5.6▲ 41.5▲ 12.6▼ 116.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.85% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 116.8 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 95,168 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 4,149 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,127 times — 75.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,022 times — 24.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -72.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.82%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2025-06-22 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
44.1%
Bull Bias
-72.7%
Bear Critical
-91.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

BTCUSD recorded in the near-peak Bear energy state as the 1H candle ended.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy moved from 44.1% to -72.7%, down -116.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.6 to +95.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 22-06-2025 closed, BTCUSD was at 100,863.11, down 1.85% from the previous candle (102,766.31). Market Energy was -72.7%, down 116.8 points from 44.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 100,863.11, down 1.85% from the previous 1H candle (102,766.31). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 56,739 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 116.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 44.1% to -72.7%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD on record since 2019.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at 44.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72.7%, BTCUSD is 12.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.82 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -45.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -27.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -72.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 16.4%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 89 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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