Analysis

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BTCUSD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Extreme zone. Measured energy: -89.4%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Extreme BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,077 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-08-24
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,688 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,688 times100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -89.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.92%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 10.58%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2025-06-21 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-99.6%
Bear Extreme
-89.4%
Bear Extreme
-85.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, BTCUSD in Bear in Extreme state.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy rose +10.1% from the previous candle, from -99.6% to -89.4%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.6 to +95.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was BTCUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 22-06-2025 closed, BTCUSD was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -89.4%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -99.6% to -89.4%.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at -99.6%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -89.4%, BTCUSD is 14.92 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 10.58 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -45.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -27.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -89.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 16.4%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 105.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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