Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 26,601 to 26,161.38, down 1.65%
Market Energy Bull Critical 72.2% to Bear Critical -68.3%, down 140.5 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.23%▼ 0.15%▼ 0.39%▼ 1.65%
Energy▲ 1.6▼ 4.1▼ 18.6▼ 140.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.23%▼ 0.15%▼ 0.39%▼ 1.65%▲ 1.6▼ 4.1▼ 18.6▼ 140.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.65% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 140.5 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 95,144 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 4,147 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,125 times — 75.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,022 times — 24.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -68.31%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.19%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2023-09-27 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
72.2%
Bull Critical
-68.3%
Bear Critical
-72.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, BTCUSD shows the near-peak Bear energy zone.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market trend energy recorded a -140.5% drop from the previous candle, from 72.2% to -68.3%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -68.3 to +94.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 27-09-2023 closed, BTCUSD was at 26,161.38, down 1.65% from the previous candle (26,601). Market Energy was -68.3%, down 140.5 points from 72.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 26,161.38, down 1.65% from the previous 1H candle (26,601). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 41,524 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 140.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 72.2% to -68.3%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD on record since 2019.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at 72.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -68.3%, BTCUSD is 8.31 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 6.19 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -94.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.5%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -68.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 94.1%. BTCUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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