Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 49,669 to 48,662, down 2.03%
Market Energy Neutral -19.8% to Bear Critical -71.0%, down 51.1 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.74%▼ 0.42%▼ 1.33%▼ 2.03%
Energy▲ 40.6▼ 4.1▼ 43.5▼ 51.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.74%▼ 0.42%▼ 1.33%▼ 2.03%▲ 40.6▼ 4.1▼ 43.5▼ 51.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.03% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 51.1 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 95,168 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 4,149 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,127 times — 75.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,022 times — 24.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -70.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.95%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.55%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2021-05-13 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live BTCUSD chart →
Market Energy
-19.8%
Neutral
-71.0%
Bear Critical
-62.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, BTCUSD within the near-peak Bear energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -51.1% from the previous session, from -19.8% to -71%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.5 to +90.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 13-05-2021 closed, BTCUSD was at 48,662, down 2.03% from the previous candle (49,669). Market Energy was -71%, down 51.1 points from -19.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 48,662, down 2.03% from the previous 1H candle (49,669). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 20,718 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 51.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.8% to -71%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at -19.8%, Neutral — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71%, BTCUSD is 10.95 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.55 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -71%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.2%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 83.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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