Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 9,445 to 9,203, down 2.56%
Market Energy Bull Bias 36.2% to Bear Extreme -75.8%, down 111.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.46%▲ 0.13%▼ 0.14%▼ 2.56%
Energy▲ 38.8▲ 16.9▼ 6.5▼ 111.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.46%▲ 0.13%▼ 0.14%▼ 2.56%▲ 38.8▲ 16.9▼ 6.5▼ 111.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.56% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 111.9 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 95,160 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,717 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,717 times — 100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -75.75%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.25%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.25%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2019-10-28 23:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
36.2%
Bull Bias
-75.8%
Bear Extreme
-79.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

BTCUSD recorded in Bear Extreme as the 1H candle ended.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Compared to the previous candle (36.2%), Market Energy dropped -111.9% to -75.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -75.8 to +99.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 06:00 on 29-10-2019 closed, BTCUSD was at 9,203, down 2.56% from the previous candle (9,445). Market Energy was -75.8%, down 111.9 points from 36.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 9,203, down 2.56% from the previous 1H candle (9,445). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 7,224 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 111.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 36.2% to -75.8%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at 36.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.8%, BTCUSD is 1.25 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.25 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 32.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 27.8%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -75.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 0.3%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 76 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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