Analysis

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Price and energy
BCHUSD from 496.2 to 496.4, up 0.04%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.3% to Bear Critical -63.3%, up 5.0 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%2.61%0.67%0.04%
Energy7.158.33.25.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 2.61% 0.67% 0.04% 7.1 58.3 3.2 5.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.04% — higher than 2% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.0 pts — higher than 29% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BCHUSD 4H

Sample: 14,886 4H candles from 2019-11-28 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 659 times

When BCHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BCHUSD moved to higher Market State: 491 times74.5%
  • then BCHUSD moved to lower Market State: 168 times25.5%

Current BCHUSD market energy: -63.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.18%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

BCHUSD · H4 · 2025-07-03 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-68.3%
Bear Critical
-63.3%
Bear Critical
-80.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The near-extreme Bear energy state recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for BCHUSD.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Compared to the previous candle (-68.3%), Market Energy rose +5% to -63.3%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BCHUSD Market Energy ranged from -71.5 to +88.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BCHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 04-07-2025 closed, BCHUSD was at 496.4, up 0.04% from the previous candle (496.2). Market Energy was -63.3%, up 5.0 points from -68.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BCHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BCHUSD closed at 496.4, up 0.04% from the previous 4H candle (496.2). This rise is larger than 2% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD, across 12,265 candles since 2019.

How did BCHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.3% to -63.3%. This rise is larger than 29% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD.

Do BCHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BCHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BCHUSD at -68.3%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BCHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.3%, BCHUSD is 3.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.18 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 45.9%. Against this backdrop, BCHUSD (Bear Critical, -63.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 55.6%. BCHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BCHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BCHUSD on the BCHUSD overview →

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