Analysis

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Price and energy
BCHUSD from 337.7 to 331.4, down 1.87%
Market Energy Neutral 18.6% to Bear Bias -30.7%, down 49.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.16%0.66%0.57%1.87%
Energy34.98.215.849.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.16% 0.66% 0.57% 1.87% 34.9 8.2 15.8 49.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.87% — higher than 79% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 49.3 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias BCHUSD 4H

Sample: 14,884 4H candles from 2019-11-28 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,219 times

When BCHUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then BCHUSD moved to higher Market State: 803 times65.9%
  • then BCHUSD moved to lower Market State: 416 times34.1%

Current BCHUSD market energy: -30.71%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.29%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BCHUSD · H4 · 2025-03-18 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
18.6%
Neutral
-30.7%
Bear Bias
-33.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The energy state leaning Bear is the result just recorded for BCHUSD after the 4H candle closed.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market trend energy recorded a -49.3% drop from the previous candle, from 18.6% to -30.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BCHUSD Market Energy ranged from -81.6 to +52.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BCHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 18-03-2025 closed, BCHUSD was at 331.4, down 1.87% from the previous candle (337.7). Market Energy was -30.7%, down 49.3 points from 18.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did BCHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BCHUSD closed at 331.4, down 1.87% from the previous 4H candle (337.7). This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD, across 11,621 candles since 2019.

How did BCHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 49.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 18.6% to -30.7%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD.

Do BCHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BCHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BCHUSD at 18.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, BCHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does BCHUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30.7%, BCHUSD is 9.83 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 29.29 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -24.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.7%. Against this backdrop, BCHUSD (Bear Bias, -30.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 45.7%. BCHUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BCHUSD on the BCHUSD overview →

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