Analysis

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Price and energy
BCHUSD from 126 to 121.5, down 3.57%
Market Energy Neutral 15.6% to Bear Critical -71.6%, down 87.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.55%1.19%0.87%3.57%
Energy1.35.116.687.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.55% 1.19% 0.87% 3.57% 1.3 5.1 16.6 87.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.57% — higher than 91% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 87.2 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BCHUSD 4H

Sample: 14,892 4H candles from 2019-11-28 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 659 times

When BCHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BCHUSD moved to higher Market State: 491 times74.5%
  • then BCHUSD moved to lower Market State: 168 times25.5%

Current BCHUSD market energy: -71.63%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.63%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.87%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

BCHUSD · H4 · 2022-07-22 16:00 UTC
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Market Energy
15.6%
Neutral
-71.6%
Bear Critical
-61.9%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, BCHUSD reflects Bear trend energy near extreme.

Market trend update: The energy level dropped -87.2%: from 15.6% now at -71.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BCHUSD Market Energy ranged from -71.6 to +91.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BCHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 22-07-2022 closed, BCHUSD was at 121.5, down 3.57% from the previous candle (126). Market Energy was -71.6%, down 87.2 points from 15.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BCHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BCHUSD closed at 121.5, down 3.57% from the previous 4H candle (126). This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD, across 5,802 candles since 2019.

How did BCHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 87.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 15.6% to -71.6%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD.

Do BCHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BCHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BCHUSD at 15.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, BCHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does BCHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.6%, BCHUSD is 11.63 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.87 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -84.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.8%. Against this backdrop, BCHUSD (Bear Critical, -71.6%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.1%. BCHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BCHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BCHUSD on the BCHUSD overview →

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