Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 9.376 to 9.493, up 1.25%
Market Energy Bull Bias 38.6% to Bull Critical 65.5%, up 26.9 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.94%1.85%0.86%1.25%
Energy18.642.56.826.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.94% 1.85% 0.86% 1.25% 18.6 42.5 6.8 26.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.25% — higher than 55% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 26.9 pts — higher than 81% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,089 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 609 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 166 times27.3%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 443 times72.7%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 65.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 9.05%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 5.45%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-05-21 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
38.6%
Bull Bias
65.5%
Bull Critical
65.1%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, AVAXUSD currently in Bull Critical of Market Energy.

On trend energy, Market Energy reading rose +26.9%, moving from 38.6% to 65.5% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -68.6 to +87.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 21-05-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 9.493, up 1.25% from the previous candle (9.376). Market Energy was 65.5%, up 26.9 points from 38.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.493, up 1.25% from the previous 4H candle (9.376). This rise is larger than 55% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 12,404 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 26.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 38.6% to 65.5%. This rise is larger than 81% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 38.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 65.5%, AVAXUSD is 9.05 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 5.45 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 14%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Critical, 65.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 33.7%. AVAXUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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