Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 9.74 to 9.62, down 1.23%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 93.7% to Bull Critical 72.8%, down 20.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.70%0.00%1.88%1.23%
Energy33.515.316.020.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.70%0.00% 1.88% 1.23% 33.5 15.3 16.0 20.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.23% — higher than 55% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.9 pts — higher than 74% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,089 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 609 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 166 times27.3%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 443 times72.7%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 72.76%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.76%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-05-06 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
93.7%
Bull Extreme
72.8%
Bull Critical
64.7%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, AVAXUSD classified as the Bull Critical state.

Market trend energy Market Energy moved from 93.7% to 72.8%, down -20.9% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.5 to +93.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 06-05-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 9.62, down 1.23% from the previous candle (9.74). Market Energy was 72.8%, down 20.9 points from 93.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.62, down 1.23% from the previous 4H candle (9.74). This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 12,313 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 93.7% to 72.8%. This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 93.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.8%, AVAXUSD is 1.74 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.76 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 62.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.2%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Critical, 72.8%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -12.7%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 85.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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