Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 9.38 to 9.09, down 3.09%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.5% to Bear Critical -72.5%, down 140.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.65%2.57%2.09%3.09%
Energy11.174.121.0140.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.65% 2.57% 2.09% 3.09% 11.1 74.1 21.0 140.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.09% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 140.9 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,084 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 628 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 464 times73.9%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 164 times26.1%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -72.47%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.47%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.03%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
68.5%
Bull Critical
-72.5%
Bear Critical
-96.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Result for AVAXUSD: the near-peak Bear energy state.

Meanwhile, A -140.9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -72.5% (previous: 68.5%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.3 to +89.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 12-04-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 9.09, down 3.09% from the previous candle (9.38). Market Energy was -72.5%, down 140.9 points from 68.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.09, down 3.09% from the previous 4H candle (9.38). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 12,166 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 140.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.5% to -72.5%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD on record since 2019.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 68.5%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72.5%, AVAXUSD is 12.47 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.03 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -17%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -37.7%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Critical, -72.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.5%. AVAXUSD energy is currently below DXY by 76.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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