Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 10.25 to 10.2, down 0.49%
Market Energy Bull Bias 21.0% to Neutral 10.9%, down 10.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.48%0.10%0.19%0.49%
Energy11.46.84.410.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.48% 0.10% 0.19% 0.49% 11.4 6.8 4.4 10.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.49% — higher than 25% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.1 pts — higher than 49% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,087 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,150 times

When AVAXUSD is in Neutral:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 563 times49%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 587 times51%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 10.86%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 10.02%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 31.74%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-03-17 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
21.0%
Bull Bias
10.9%
Neutral
18.0%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, AVAXUSD in trend energy in a neutral state.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -10.1% from the previous candle, from 21% to 10.9%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -63.8 to +89.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 18-03-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 10.2, down 0.49% from the previous candle (10.25). Market Energy was 10.9%, down 10.1 points from 21%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 10.2, down 0.49% from the previous 4H candle (10.25). This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 12,015 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 21% to 10.9%. This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 21%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 10.9%, AVAXUSD is 10.02 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 31.74 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.4%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Neutral, 10.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -55.3%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 66.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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