Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 9.28 to 9.39, up 1.19%
Market Energy Bull Bias 54.3% to Bull Critical 66.2%, up 11.9 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.23%0.11%2.09%1.19%
Energy29.72.537.611.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.23% 0.11% 2.09% 1.19% 29.7 2.5 37.6 11.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.19% — higher than 52% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.9 pts — higher than 57% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,089 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 609 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 166 times27.3%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 443 times72.7%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 66.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.21%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-03-09 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
54.3%
Bull Bias
66.2%
Bull Critical
51.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Result for AVAXUSD: the Bull Critical state.

On trend energy, Market Energy rose +11.9% this candle, currently 66.2% (previous candle 54.3%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.8 to +88.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 09-03-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 9.39, up 1.19% from the previous candle (9.28). Market Energy was 66.2%, up 11.9 points from 54.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.39, up 1.19% from the previous 4H candle (9.28). This rise is larger than 52% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 11,966 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 54.3% to 66.2%. This rise is larger than 57% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 54.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.2%, AVAXUSD is 8.29 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.21 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.8%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Critical, 66.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -65.9%. AVAXUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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