Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 9.17 to 9.18, up 0.11%
Market Energy Neutral 16.0% to Bull Bias 26.4%, up 10.3 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.44%1.21%1.78%0.11%
Energy7.528.524.710.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.44% 1.21% 1.78% 0.11% 7.5 28.5 24.7 10.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 5% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.3 pts — higher than 51% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,085 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,045 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 416 times39.8%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 629 times60.2%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 26.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 33.63%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 5.49%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-03-03 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
16.0%
Neutral
26.4%
Bull Bias
22.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, Market AVAXUSD in the Bull Bias energy zone.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy rose +10.3% from the previous session, from 16% to 26.4%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.1 to +81.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 03-03-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 9.18, up 0.11% from the previous candle (9.17). Market Energy was 26.4%, up 10.3 points from 16%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.18, up 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (9.17). This rise is larger than 5% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 11,930 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 16% to 26.4%. This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 16%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 26.4%, AVAXUSD is 33.63 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 5.49 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 10.6%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Bias, 26.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -29.5%. AVAXUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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