Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 9.22 to 9.12, down 1.08%
Market Energy Bull Critical 71.0% to Bull Critical 60.1%, down 10.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.46%1.09%0.43%1.08%
Energy57.63.86.210.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.46% 1.09% 0.43% 1.08% 57.6 3.8 6.2 10.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.08% — higher than 50% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.9 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,083 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 609 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 166 times27.3%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 443 times72.7%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 60.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.38%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.12%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-03-01 08:00 UTC
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Market Energy
71.0%
Bull Critical
60.1%
Bull Critical
50.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, AVAXUSD reflects the near-extreme Bull energy state.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -10.9% this candle, currently 60.1% (previous candle 71%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.1 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 01-03-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 9.12, down 1.08% from the previous candle (9.22). Market Energy was 60.1%, down 10.9 points from 71%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.12, down 1.08% from the previous 4H candle (9.22). This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 11,916 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71% to 60.1%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 71%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.1%, AVAXUSD is 14.38 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.12 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 2.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54.2%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Critical, 60.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.7%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 55.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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