Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 14.07 to 13.75, down 2.27%
Market Energy Bear Bias -44.5% to Bear Extreme -75.4%, down 30.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.41%0.28%1.68%2.27%
Energy4.04.416.930.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.41% 0.28% 1.68% 2.27% 4.0 4.4 16.9 30.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.27% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 30.8 pts — higher than 83% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,088 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 419 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 419 times100%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -75.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 0.85%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.65%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-01-15 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
-44.5%
Bear Bias
-75.4%
Bear Extreme
-68.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, AVAXUSD reflects Bear Extreme.

Looking at the energy level, A -30.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -75.4% (previous: -44.5%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -75.4 to +99.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 15-01-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 13.75, down 2.27% from the previous candle (14.07). Market Energy was -75.4%, down 30.8 points from -44.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 13.75, down 2.27% from the previous 4H candle (14.07). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 11,648 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 30.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -44.5% to -75.4%. This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -44.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.4%, AVAXUSD is 0.85 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.65 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.1%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Extreme, -75.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 71.6%. AVAXUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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