Analysis

·

Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 23.34 to 22.14, down 5.14%
Market Energy Bull Critical 73.0% to Bear Bias -34.7%, down 107.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price4.65%0.21%1.93%5.14%
Energy38.05.812.0107.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
4.65% 0.21% 1.93% 5.14% 38.0 5.8 12.0 107.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.14% — higher than 95% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 107.7 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,086 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,084 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 669 times61.7%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 415 times38.3%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -34.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.33%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2025-10-14 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
73.0%
Bull Critical
-34.7%
Bear Bias
-40.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, AVAXUSD within the Bear Bias zone.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -107.7% this candle, currently -34.7% (previous candle 73%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.2 to +85.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 14-10-2025 closed, AVAXUSD was at 22.14, down 5.14% from the previous candle (23.34). Market Energy was -34.7%, down 107.7 points from 73%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 22.14, down 5.14% from the previous 4H candle (23.34). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 11,087 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 107.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 73% to -34.7%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD on record since 2019.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 73%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.7%, AVAXUSD is 13.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.33 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -77.8%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Bias, -34.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -47.7%. AVAXUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .