Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 23.56 to 23.21, down 1.49%
Market Energy Neutral -20.3% to Bear Bias -31.6%, down 11.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.42%0.42%1.49%
Energy31.123.111.311.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.42% 0.42% 1.49% 31.1 23.1 11.3 11.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.49% — higher than 60% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.3 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,086 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,084 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 669 times61.7%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 415 times38.3%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -31.62%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 10.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 28.38%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2025-09-01 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-20.3%
Neutral
-31.6%
Bear Bias
-4.4%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, AVAXUSD reflects Bear Bias of Market Energy.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy at -31.6%, down -11.3% from -20.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.2 to +36.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 02-09-2025 closed, AVAXUSD was at 23.21, down 1.49% from the previous candle (23.56). Market Energy was -31.6%, down 11.3 points from -20.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 23.21, down 1.49% from the previous 4H candle (23.56). This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 10,833 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -20.3% to -31.6%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -20.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -31.6%, AVAXUSD is 10.74 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 28.38 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 44.6%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Bias, -31.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -8.9%. AVAXUSD energy is currently below DXY by 22.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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