Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 17.95 to 17.97, up 0.11%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.7% to Bull Critical 66.5%, down 2.1 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.45%1.13%0.11%
Energy3.011.536.02.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.45% 1.13% 0.11% 3.0 11.5 36.0 2.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 5% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.1 pts — higher than 12% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,089 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 609 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 166 times27.3%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 443 times72.7%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 66.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.54%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2025-06-28 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
68.7%
Bull Critical
66.5%
Bull Critical
43.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, AVAXUSD reflects the Bull Critical energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -2.1% from the previous session, from 68.7% to 66.5%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -71.9 to +96.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 29-06-2025 closed, AVAXUSD was at 17.97, up 0.11% from the previous candle (17.95). Market Energy was 66.5%, down 2.1 points from 68.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 17.97, up 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (17.95). This rise is larger than 5% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 10,443 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.7% to 66.5%. This drop is larger than 12% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 68.7%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.5%, AVAXUSD is 7.96 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.54 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.7%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Critical, 66.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 9.2%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 57.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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