Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 9.16 to 9.12, down 0.44%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.2% to Bear Critical -66.6%, down 9.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.19%0.44%0.43%0.44%
Energy22.33.91.79.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.19% 0.44% 0.43% 0.44% 22.3 3.9 1.7 9.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.44% — higher than 42% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.3 pts — higher than 48% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AVAXUSD 1H

Sample: 52,303 1H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,467 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,782 times72.2%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 685 times27.8%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -66.55%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.55%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.95%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H1 · 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-57.2%
Bear Bias
-66.6%
Bear Critical
-73.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, AVAXUSD currently in Bear Critical of Market Energy.

End-of-session update for 1H, Market Energy dropped -9.3% from the previous candle, from -57.2% to -66.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.9 to +90.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 06:00 on 22-02-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 9.12, down 0.44% from the previous candle (9.16). Market Energy was -66.6%, down 9.3 points from -57.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.12, down 0.44% from the previous 1H candle (9.16). This drop is larger than 42% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 47,468 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.2% to -66.6%. This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had AVAXUSD at -57.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.6%, AVAXUSD is 6.55 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.95 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.3%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Critical, -66.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -37.2%. AVAXUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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