Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 28.38 to 20.68, down 27.13%
Market Energy Bear Bias -55.4% to Bear Bias -43.1%, up 12.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price8.76%3.19%1.53%27.13%
Energy77.83.36.412.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
8.76% 3.19% 1.53% 27.13% 77.8 3.3 6.4 12.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 27.13% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy up 12.3 pts — higher than 53% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AVAXUSD Daily

Sample: 2,182 Daily candles from 2020-09-23 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 201 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 115 times57.2%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 86 times42.8%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -43.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 22.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 16.92%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · D1 · 2025-10-10 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
-55.4%
Bear Bias
-43.1%
Bear Bias
-40.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, AVAXUSD within the Bear Bias zone.

On the energy side, The energy level rose +12.3%: from -55.4% now at -43.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -65 to +12.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 10-10-2025 closed, AVAXUSD was at 20.68, down 27.13% from the previous candle (28.38). Market Energy was -43.1%, up 12.3 points from -55.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 20.68, down 27.13% from the previous Daily candle (28.38). This is the largest of all drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD on record since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 12.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -55.4% to -43.1%. This rise is larger than 53% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had AVAXUSD at -55.4%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -43.1%, AVAXUSD is 22.2 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 16.92 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 8.1%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Bias, -43.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 69.6%. AVAXUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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