Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 33.17 to 33.04, down 0.39%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 81.9% to Bull Extreme 78.0%, down 3.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price10.59%4.09%1.72%0.39%
Energy21.69.17.43.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
10.59% 4.09% 1.72% 0.39% 21.6 9.1 7.4 3.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 5% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.9 pts — higher than 20% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme AVAXUSD Daily

Sample: 2,181 Daily candles from 2020-09-23 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 89 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 89 times100%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 78.01%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 21.99%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 3.51%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · D1 · 2025-09-21 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
81.9%
Bull Extreme
78.0%
Bull Extreme
72.2%
Bull Critical
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull in Extreme state determined for AVAXUSD through the Daily candle data.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -3.9% this candle, currently 78% (previous candle 81.9%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from +63.1 to +98.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 21-09-2025 closed, AVAXUSD was at 33.04, down 0.39% from the previous candle (33.17). Market Energy was 78%, down 3.9 points from 81.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 33.04, down 0.39% from the previous Daily candle (33.17). This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 1,824 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.9% to 78%. This drop is larger than 20% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had AVAXUSD at 81.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 78%, AVAXUSD is 21.99 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 3.51 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -27.7%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Extreme, 78%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.4%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 80.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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