Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 23.91 to 23.51, down 1.67%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 86.2% to Bull Critical 72.8%, down 13.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price5.88%0.67%5.52%1.67%
Energy8.46.01.513.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
5.88% 0.67% 5.52% 1.67% 8.4 6.0 1.5 13.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.67% — higher than 27% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.4 pts — higher than 58% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AVAXUSD Daily

Sample: 2,181 Daily candles from 2020-09-23 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 122 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 41 times33.6%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 81 times66.4%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: 72.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.68%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.82%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · D1 · 2025-07-18 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
86.2%
Bull Extreme
72.8%
Bull Critical
67.6%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the Daily candle, AVAXUSD currently in the near-extreme Bull energy zone.

Market trend update: The energy level dropped -13.4%: from 86.2% now at 72.8%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from +70.3 to +86.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 18-07-2025 closed, AVAXUSD was at 23.51, down 1.67% from the previous candle (23.91). Market Energy was 72.8%, down 13.4 points from 86.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 23.51, down 1.67% from the previous Daily candle (23.91). This drop is larger than 27% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 1,759 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 86.2% to 72.8%. This drop is larger than 58% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had AVAXUSD at 86.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.8%, AVAXUSD is 1.68 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.82 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.7%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Critical, 72.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.2%. AVAXUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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