Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 44.05 to 39.21, down 10.99%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 86.4% to Bear Bias -38.0%, down 124.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.65%1.13%2.18%10.99%
Energy10.91.56.7124.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.65% 1.13% 2.18% 10.99% 10.9 1.5 6.7 124.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 10.99% — higher than 95% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 124.4 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AVAXUSD Daily

Sample: 2,182 Daily candles from 2020-09-23 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 201 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 115 times57.2%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 86 times42.8%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -38.02%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 17.14%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 21.98%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · D1 · 2025-01-07 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
86.4%
Bull Extreme
-38.0%
Bear Bias
-86.9%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, AVAXUSD classified as Bear Bias of Market Energy.

Meanwhile, Market trend energy recorded a -124.4% drop from the previous candle, from 86.4% to -38%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -38 to +94.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 07-01-2025 closed, AVAXUSD was at 39.21, down 10.99% from the previous candle (44.05). Market Energy was -38%, down 124.4 points from 86.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 39.21, down 10.99% from the previous Daily candle (44.05). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 1,567 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 124.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 86.4% to -38%. This is the largest of all drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD on record since 2019.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had AVAXUSD at 86.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -38%, AVAXUSD is 17.14 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 21.98 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 23.7%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Bias, -38%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -45.1%. AVAXUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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