Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDJPY from 98.446 to 98.3745, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.7% to Bear Critical -71.3%, up 5.4 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.06%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.07%
Energy▲ 0.7▲ 1.6▲ 1.9▲ 5.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.06%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.07%▲ 0.7▲ 1.6▲ 1.9▲ 5.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 54% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.4 pts — higher than 32% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDJPY 1H

Sample: 58,555 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,587 times

▸When AUDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,857 times — 71.8%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 730 times — 28.2%

▸Current AUDJPY market energy: -71.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.16%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H1 · 2025-01-07 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-76.7%
Bear Extreme
-71.3%
Bear Critical
-56.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, AUDJPY noted at the Bear Critical state.

The market energy reading Market Energy at -71.3%, up +5.4% from -76.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -80.9 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 08-01-2025 closed, AUDJPY was at 98.3745, down 0.07% from the previous candle (98.446). Market Energy was -71.3%, up 5.4 points from -76.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 98.3745, down 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (98.446). This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 37,516 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.7% to -71.3%. This rise is larger than 32% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had AUDJPY at -76.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.3%, AUDJPY is 11.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.16 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -76.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 6.3%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bear Critical, -71.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 76.9%. AUDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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